We're at the lowest available output I've seen in maintenance season for some years. There's a cleaner fuels impact and then other work was delayed after last year's hurricanes when supplies were short.
Oil could ease back a bit today, though the hurricane season runs into November so we're not out of the woods yet. Asian demand is still pretty strong, so we're likely to see some buying if it goes much below $60.
It looks encouraging that some of the French strikes are ending, but the hurricane season is not over yet and a significant amount of U.S. production remains shut.
In my view, prices had probably gone down too far, especially with peak demand winter season looming.
The hurricane season goes on till the end of November, so we're not out of the woods yet. But at least the chances of another hurricane forming are getting narrower and narrower.
All we need is a bit of a cold snap and suddenly it could easily push back up. We're still in that lull period where the summer driving season is over but we haven't hit peak winter demand.