We are at the top of a trading range. Everyone's willing to be bullish, but is the cash there to provide the energy the bulls need? Or is the December high the high-water mark? Dow 11,000 is one of the hooks the bulls will use to try and attract more money into the market.
This rally is very fragile, as it is being led once again by energy stocks and not technology or finance. This is no time for the bulls to relax.
Neither bulls nor bears seem to be making any headway, unless you look at the Dow.
I feel that it's very important here for the bulls to show that they can keep pushing this market forward.
Today's rise is a good sign. What we're seeing is that the bulls are not dead and the market had bounced off key short-term lows, which is what you would expect from an uptrend.
The market strength is good right now, but when I look ahead, I'm feeling rather torn right now. My forecast this year is for a bear market, but for now, I'm willing to give the bulls the benefit of the doubt.