I don't think they want to commit to any future rate hikes in case things start to sour. They're just leaving all the doors open.
The strength of today's report certainly will not be lost on the Bank of Canada ... as a result, we still believe the odds favor another rate hike from the bank in April.
The Bank of Canada cannot afford to be complacent if it wants to keep inflation in check over its 18-24 month time horizon ... Look for the overnight rate to peak at 4 percent.
That's not suggesting to me that he sees himself with having a whole battery of rate hikes going forward. I would not be surprised at all to see them go one more time and then pause.
You should see Canada's 10-year bonds rally in the second half of this year. I don't see a big appetite on the part of the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates as the economy slows. There is no compelling reason to go beyond 4 percent.
The data aren't providing any reason for the Bank of Canada to pause. The risks are on the upside for rate increases. Investors are going to sell bonds.
The weakness in the Canadian dollar is essentially a follow-through from yesterday's Fed rate decision that has the market anticipating at least one more hike.
Most importantly, the Bank of Canada is not giving the impression that it has much of an appetite for further rate hikes beyond the 4 percent level.
In our view, there is still is every reason for the Bank of Canada to continue to nudge its rate higher, and we are not changing our call for a four per cent (overnight) rate by April.
The market is starting to price out some of the rate increases that have been priced in.