Whether these decrees were signed by the president and absolutely contradictory or not, either way it shows the advanced decrepitude of the management of the affairs of state in Guinea.
His disappearance could mean higher tensions in Liberia in the short term, but there are a lot of people who would rather see Taylor dead than alive, and everything that's happened is pointing more in that direction.
The military, the army, still has extremely poor living conditions which will remain a risk as long as that is the case.
It's a secret to nobody that both the United States and the Japanese have opposed increases in peacekeeping in Cote d'Ivoire before, almost exclusively because of financial reasons.
With increasing population density, wealth in people becomes problematic. Land is scarce, water is scarce, resources are scarce. So people become a liability, and the level of tension rises.
All sides seem to have found a niche in this no-war-no-peace situation. In that context, the incentive for peace is diminished.
