Carolyn Kwan Canadian Quotations

With the stronger trade surplus, I would have expected the Canadian dollar to do a little bit better, except of course at the same time the U.S. trade deficit came in smaller than expected. As a result it's been positive for the U.S. dollar.

I suppose the Ivey may be having some small effects, but we don't think it should be. Fundamentally we don't think there's been any real shift in the Canadian economy.

We'll be watching the commodity prices again for the next little while in terms of direction for the Canadian dollar. We've gone through now C$1.14 and we're in a new range again.

With the commodity prices easing, especially oil and natural gas, the expectation is that the Canadian dollar would actually come down somewhat.

The business conditions survey is going to take center stage for Canada, maybe in particular because the Canadian dollar seems to be playing an important role in the Bank of Canada's thinking now.

There were probably industrial prices that were helping support the Canadian dollar and also some of the data that we'll get at the end of the week could be on the strong side.

It looks like the Canadian dollar has really recovered. Part of the reason has to do with the commodity story.

Even with the Canadian dollar appreciating some 6 U.S. cents through the year, both exports and imports in 2005 surged to record high levels.

The Bank of Canada has talked about the risks to 2007 on the downside. We would see the Canadian dollar weakening.

The main factor behind the Canadian dollar appreciation is likely the expectation of tomorrow's Bank of Canada statement accompanying the widely expected hike.