Al Goldman
Al Goldman
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We've had a strong economy for four years now and no inflation, so I don't see inflation as a problem, ... The market went into the tank early today because the message was our correction just wasn't over yet and then, of course, pressure from the techs.
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Second quarter earnings are going to be a very pleasant surprise. A quarter point increase won't even cause the economy to sneeze. It's so modest it will not be a factor.
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My feeling is the economy is going to slow, either on its own or by the Fed. If you think interest rates are going to be raised steadily, that's not good for anybody, but a modest increase does not hurt technology.
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Pfizer's a great company, great track record. The economy is slowing, so I think money is going to see defensive growth stocks like the pharmaceuticals and I really don't care what Al Gore thinks about supposedly big drug companies. We're going to have gridlock in Washington and there's not going to be any radical legislation no matter who is in the White House.
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Everybody knows that the economy is going to do better sometime, that the stock market will recover sometime. It's a question of when you are ready to make a bet.
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There's only one reason to buy stocks and that is to participate in a company's growth of earnings and I don't know any sector of the economy that offers superior growth prospects looking out two, three, four, five years than technology and selected Internet stocks. It's been working for 10 years now and I'm not going to buck a trend like that. You buy dips. We had one heck of a dip that reached a crescendo last week and people who bought Friday or early Monday have reaped very nice profits.
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Our economy is doing well despite what is going on in Asia, and with any signs of improvement from there, it could be up, up and away for us.
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The bears are going to have another miserable day, and they deserve it. The economic news points out that the economy is slowing from the over-heated pace in the first quarter.
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Investors are taking the easy way out ? they're sitting on their hands. The main confusion is a lack of confidence in just when the economy will turn up and the economy will improve. The prime mood in the market is one of no conviction.
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The market got itself deeply oversold after six months of correction. Now people are looking at fact rather than fiction and seeing the economy has already slowed to a healthy and sustainable rate.
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The economy is showing definite signs of slowing down to a healthier rate of expansion. I think the reason, good or bad, could be laid at the feet of the Fed.
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The economy is growing at a reduced but healthier pace. We don't anticipate any inflation problems, and corporate earnings are going up, up and away. So, yes, we're still bullish.