Anthony Crescenzi
Anthony Crescenzi
basis both cut discount fed percent points rate
The Fed will probably cut the both the Fed-Funds rate and the discount rate by 25 basis points tomorrow, to 5.25 percent and 4.75 percent, respectively.
bet buying closer continue cut dearth fewer host larger meeting people point speculate
The Fed's about to cut rates, and they may cut more from a dearth of sellers than from a host of new buyers. Some people continue to make their bet on the possibility of a 50-basis point move. You see people buying to speculate on a larger cut...you're going to get closer to that meeting and you're going to find fewer sellers.
attention economy economy-and-economics fed inflation pay point slowing
Even if the economy slows, there will still be inflation, ... But there comes a point when the Fed won't pay attention to inflation because of a slowing economy.
additional basis continues economy points vigor
If anything, we could get an additional 175 basis points this year, potentially, if the economy continues to show the kind of vigor we've had so far.
excess growth pointing report strong
The report is universally strong and is pointing to growth in excess of Greenspan's objectives.
conditions financial market near points
The market has done part of the job, but this tightening is not yet substantial -- financial conditions are still near their loosest points in many, many years,
asian half increase last sector seeing seems since weak year
What we're seeing is an increase in the manufacturing sector, ... The manufacturing sector has been very weak for the last year and a half -- since the Asian (financial) crisis. Now, that sector seems to be recovering.
actions community defend fears rather stem surprised
What he did was defend his actions rather than quell the fears of systemic risk. I'm really surprised that he'd do more to stem fears of hedge-fund community fallout.
bush chances confidence consumer continue counter markets might recent unless worry
Unless the Bush administration can successfully counter recent criticism, Bush and consumer confidence might continue to flounder. If so, the markets will justifiably worry about Bush's chances of re-election.
average consensus due exceeded gain jobs key pulled reasons wages
One of the key reasons payrolls exceeded the consensus was due to a 31K gain in manufacturing jobs, the first gain in 11 months. With more of these high-paying jobs in the mix, average wages were pulled higher.
boom cars creation effects expect good held indication items job majority payroll pick report slowing spending tax
The refinancing boom and effects from the tax rebates are waning, so spending on big-ticket items such as cars may be slowing down, ... But spending on services, which is where the majority of the job creation occurs, has held on, and we expect it to pick up. Friday's payroll report should be a good indication of that.
april believes convince deflation dramatic feeds headline month past rampant run talk though upsetting
The PPI just feeds the deflation talk that's run rampant in the past month or so, ... It's upsetting for someone who believes deflation is on the way. Even though there are qualifiers for the April data, that headline is dramatic enough to convince them.
both driven due expected figures gains higher inflation large oil percent thursday
There are inflation figures due out Thursday and Friday. The CPI and the PPI both are expected at 0.5 percent (increase), which is a very large gain, but both of those gains are expected to be driven by higher oil prices.
businesses desirable economy harmful inflation overall perhaps pricing rate rise
While it's perhaps desirable for some businesses to have a little more pricing power, the overall rate of inflation could rise at a rate that's very harmful to the economy this year.