Gary Samore
Gary Samore
Gary Samore is the Executive Director for Research of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University...
gone good great happy meet opportunity talk trip wish
My trip has gone very well. I've really had a great opportunity to meet people...and this talk was terrific. I'm very happy with the attendance; I got a lot of very good questions; I wish it could have gone on a little longer.
accepted excellent iranian proposal skeptical
I think it is an excellent proposal, but I am skeptical that the proposal would be accepted by the Iranian government.
except local looked
From what I saw, everything looked like local manufacturing except for some gauges.
accept moscow promised short support willing
On the other hand, if Moscow promised to support referral after another deadline, I'd be willing to accept a short delay.
estimate precision
No one can estimate with any precision how long this will take,
agreement consensus iran less needs nuclear produce seems talk weapons whether
When you talk to Iranians, there seems to be a consensus that Iran needs to have a latent nuclear weapons capability; in other words, an option, ... But there is much less agreement about whether it makes sense for Iran to produce nuclear weapons.
argue bush cheat deal iran likely nuclear option people require serious weapons
Finally, people from the Bush Administration argue that Iran is not really serious about making any nuclear deal that would require it to give up its nuclear weapons option and that Iran is likely to cheat on any deal in the future.
community difficult good information intelligence leaders leadership political realm therefore
The most difficult thing for leaders of the intelligence community is to tell the political leadership that they're really not sure, that they really don't have good information and therefore they're in the realm of guesswork,
opinion seems tehran tide
The tide of opinion in Tehran seems to have shifted.
effort five goes might nuclear produce single solving throw uranium weapon within
We estimate, if everything goes right, if they throw all their effort into solving their problems, they might be able to produce enough weapons-grade uranium for a single nuclear weapon within five years.
consensus either ends voting whether
Whether it is by consensus or by vote, either way it ends up in New York.
analysis case intelligence iraq quality
In the case of Iraq the quality of intelligence and the analysis of that intelligence was abysmally bad.
causing credible few mass options
It has very few credible options for causing mass casualties.
political
For their political needs, that would be enough.