If he doesn't achieve 40 or 45 percent, maybe more, he will not be judged a winner in Iowa. On the other hand, if Steve Forbes breaks 25 to 30 percent, the press will be saying there's a second challenger in New Hampshire.
We've had some very famous people through Iowa who failed in the caucuses -- John Glenn, Ted Kennedy drew huge crowds here, but were never able to convert that into caucus support.
The nature of the game is meeting your expectations. If if you meet your expectations, you are a winner. If you exceed your expectations, you're a winner. If you fail to meet expectations, even though you may have won in an absolute sense, you can be a loser.
They are two very different cultures that hold very different political contests. It's little wonder they would often come to different conclusions,
This is inside baseball here, ... The vast majority of people here never pay attention to the caucuses.
I still believe many will not show up at the caucuses because they figure Bush has it all wrapped up.
Bush had already sucked up most of the establishment money in the party nationally by the Ames event and once the results were in, that well ran completely dry for Dole, Quayle and Alexander,
