Nelson Warfield
Nelson Warfield
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There are more jokes about losers than there are books about losers. The most common volumes you see written about them are the bumper stickers during the next administration: Don't blame me; I voted for the loser.
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When you talk to the Republican network in Washington, the consensus is that Rudy is MIA. He is making none of the traditional moves you expect a candidate to make.
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This soap opera has done nothing to erase Hillary Clinton's vulnerabilities. She starts with 30 percent who would vote against her, no matter what. That's a pretty high stepping off point for a challenger.
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You always want to have an opposition figure that will galvanize your base, and Bush is that figure for Hillary.
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He is a lost ball in tall grass to begin with.
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Pataki might think ethanol will win him farm votes in Iowa. But when he's carrying the weight of his liberal views on abortion and gay rights, a boutique tax cut for alternative fuels won't put much in Pataki's tank for a presidential race.
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Rudy is definitely collecting some insider chits. But his problems remain at the grass roots. The rank-and-file Republicans who actually nominate candidates are much more conservative than Giuliani's record.
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You don't find much presidential timber in New York because the soil is polluted with machine politics. Unlimited incumbency and almost unlimited patronage breed grubby politicians. But Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani cut in line to win here without paying dues to the spoils system.
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It was a moment on the national stage for Pataki. And he can say that when an out-of-control, liberal union tried to shut down New York, he took a firm line.
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Socialized medicine isn't good for patients' health or Hillary's political future.
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If Pataki can craft a message that builds on this, then he has a story to tell. But the story has to have a happy ending.
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He's such an insignificant player on the national stage, a plodding speech praising JFK and discovering tax cuts won't do much to enhance his stature.