Tohru Sasaki
Tohru Sasaki
advice april backs core easing exit forecast interest next rise sales shifted timing
The on-year rise in core CPI backs up our forecast of an exit from quantitative easing in April of next year, but the market's interest has shifted to the timing of an interest-rate hike.
effect greenspan positive says whatever
Whatever Greenspan says probably won't have a positive effect on the dollar. But all the same, it shouldn't be too negative.
change major unless
Unless there's a major event, it shouldn't really change anything.
dollar economy market numbers payroll recent sentiment toward unlikely weaker
U.S. payroll numbers are unlikely to give the dollar upward momentum, even if the numbers are good. Market sentiment toward the U.S. economy is worsening, buffeted by recent weaker data.
action brought exit following forward impact indicator interest market price rates release zero
The price action following the release of today's indicator suggests that as long as expectations for an exit from zero interest rates are not brought forward greatly, the impact on the market will be limited.
bad dollar figures likely numbers push react thinking
Thinking about the market's dollar bullishness, even bad figures could push up the dollar. The dollar is likely to react to the numbers only on the upside.
foreign investors japanese looking
This is a yen-selling market. Japanese investors are looking for higher-yielding foreign assets.
short
This is an unwinding of the yen's short positions.
appreciation certainly change high monetary near number policy risks strong
A strong CPI number would certainly back up many players' expectations for a monetary policy change in April. Considering the high number of yen-short positions, there are risks for yen appreciation in the near term.
easing impact means terms
A better-than-expected CPI means nothing in real terms because the end of quantitative easing doesn't have a real impact on the market, just speculation.
early economy figures good next outlook strong suggest support
Strong figures will support the dollar, as they suggest a good outlook for the U.S. economy from early next year.