William Gray Activity Quotations

Unfortunately, we are continuing the bad news by predicting above-average activity for September and October.

We expect that by the time the 2005 hurricane season is over, we will witness seasonal tropical cyclone activity at near-record levels.

Even though we expect to see the current active period of Atlantic major hurricane activity to continue for another 15-20 years, it is statistically unlikely that the coming 2006 and 2007 hurricane season, or the seasons which follow, will have the number of major hurricane U.S. landfall events as we have seen in 2004-2005.

These numbers aren't extreme, but they continue the trend in which hurricane activity appears to be on a multi-decadal upswing.

In cold years you have more activity than in warm years,

All of the climate signals in the Atlantic Basin that we've been monitoring are very positive for above-average storm activity this year,