If the data starts to taper off, the market will begin to handicap a 5 percent top in interest rates. That would weigh heavily on the dollar.
Comments from various Japanese authorities suggest that the zero interest rate policy may remain in place longer than the market anticipates.
The residual impact from the Fed is definitely positive for the dollar. The Fed message is clearly all systems go for 4.25 percent and maybe even 4.5 percent, which will increase the dollar's interest rate differential with other currencies.
The interest rate differential will be materially larger. It will attract a lot of capital into U.S. dollars.
The market has really begun to believe that we are coming to the close of the zero interest rate policy.