I understand that some of the demand from fabricators has fallen away as the price has risen.
But if Iran withdrew, that would leave a substantial gap in the market. In any case, the oil price is likely to remain high because global demand is so strong.
The basic thing underlying the industry is that global demand remains very strong.
There are quite a few ways in which supplies could be disrupted, not just from Iran itself, while the accumulation of economic data and forecasts for the global economy over the past month or so points to global energy demand remaining strong. The rise has been speedy.
The Iran issue is the driver of the day, the extra factor causing the run-up in prices, but the basic thing underlying the industry is that global demand remains very strong.
Iran and Nigeria are providing a double disruption to the crude oil market, emphasizing that the oil market remains in no condition to play a man or more short.