As a conservative estimate, we believe this deal could have a total contract value in the $20 million range. The fact that this is a licensing agreement also entails that virtually all of the revenue will flow to the bottom line.
We continue to believe that Microsoft is a fiscal-year 2007 story and hence are maintaining our 'Buy' recommendation and our $32 target price.
After a string of unfortunate events for RIM, we believe the company has been boosted by the District Court's decision to elongate the final briefing timeline, while the Patent Office expedites its re-examination.
We believe the impact of an injunction to RIM would be severe. We would guess that the stock could fall $20 to $50 per share.
In our opinion, the judge's comments were more ominous for RIM than NTP. In the end, we believe both parties have more to lose by waiting for a verdict.