As long as housing prices don't go down, consumers have more equity they can borrow against. If mortgage rates go up another 1.25 or 1.5 percent and pierce 7 percent -- watch out. That's when the housing bubble bursts and consumers would cut back on spending a lot.
I don't expect consumers here will really see a 10 percent movement on the prices of imported goods, ... But for exporters, that 10 percent is very real.