Anthony Chan
Anthony Chan
anywhere conclude hard labor market near rise
With the rise in the unemployment rate, it is hard to conclude that the labor market is anywhere near out of the woods.
average avoid beyond both button fall further interest investors nail panic pushing rate remains report rise
With a fall in the yearly rise in average hourly earnings, both investors and policy-makers can avoid pushing the panic button for a little while longer. In other words, while a (May interest rate hike) remains all but assured, this report did little to nail further tightening beyond this stage.
alive economic growth happen imagine numbers observed percent recent remains rise sluggish towards trend underlying
These numbers tell us that the underlying productivity surge observed in recent years remains alive and well. If productivity could rise by 1.1 percent during a sluggish growth environment, imagine what can happen once the U.S. reverts back towards trend economic growth.
apparel component continued despite drop expectation few inflation overall prices provided report rise seems surprises though
It seems as though the inflation report provided a few component surprises but no overall surprises as apparel prices continued to drop despite the expectation that they would stabilize or rise slightly.
conclude easy energy goods inevitably living natural occurs rises standard toward wealth
As the natural displacement from other consumption goods toward energy goods occurs with rises in energy prices, it is easy to conclude that our natural wealth and standard of living will inevitably decline.
almost bad economy energy inflation lose news offers outlook prices rise
Essentially, the energy prices outlook offers almost a lose, lose scenario. Bad news for inflation if they rise and bad news for the economy if they rise too much.
average believe continues earnings leading monetary overall pace report rise
The pace of average hourly earnings continues to rise at just a tepid pace leading me to believe that this overall report is a very monetary policy-friendly report.
ahead fear gain labor markets monetary policy rate release report rise robust sting takes
The rise in the unemployment rate takes much of the sting away from the robust gain in payrolls from a monetary policy perspective. The big fear ahead of the release of this report was that labor markets were overheating.
cautious demeanor expressed federal policy reserve rise truly various
The much weaker-than-expected rise in payrolls truly confirms the cautious demeanor expressed by various Federal Reserve policy officials.
anxious core draw fed line meeting parties rise shows statement willing
I think if we get another 0.3 rise in the core CPI, I think the Fed will want to draw line in the sand, ... The Fed statement shows there are a lot of anxious parties at that meeting willing to be (more) aggressive.
basically case jobs million missing stage
We're basically missing 5.1 million jobs at this stage of the expansion. You could even call it the case of the missing jobs, ... different paradigm.
assured continue fed higher markets push rates remain short term
With this figure, markets can remain all but assured that the Fed will continue to push short term rates higher well into 2006.
far makers policy remain
We're still far from deflation, but not far from a deceleration in inflation, and that's why policy makers have to remain vigilant.