Lixion Avila
Lixion Avila
Lixion Avila is a weather forecaster with the National Hurricane Center. He has been a senior hurricane specialist there since 1987 and is the longest-tenured senior specialist...
dangerous track typical
We always thought it could be a dangerous hurricane, ... is the typical track for October.
closer computer earlier farther last model models reliable runs storm tracking west
The last suite of model runs we had today, most of the reliable computer models all have the storm tracking farther west than the earlier runs and have the track closer to New Orleans.
We can get torrential rainfall from this system.
days system
We were monitoring that system for days and days and days,
believe drop expected mind nobody
First of all, I could not believe it, ... Nobody in their right mind would have expected this drop in pressure.
affect land
We don't think it's going to affect land.
cannot expecting few last speculate system
We have been expecting this system to weaken for the last few days, but the system has not weakened. I cannot speculate about it because we don't know why.
clear explain reasons recent
There are no clear reasons and I am not going to make one up to explain the recent strengthening of Epsilon.
correspond hurricane strength system value
Normally, this value would correspond to a system of hurricane strength.
develop eastern force forecast pattern strong toward united westward
Then, a strong high-pressure ridge is forecast to develop over the eastern United States. This pattern would force Ophelia westward and west-northwestward toward the US coast.
cat ready
That?s why we tell you, if it's a Cat 2, get ready for a Cat 3.
forecast hurricane next within
Ophelia is forecast to become a hurricane within the next 12 hours.
happened middle wish
Let's put it this way, ... I wish it could have happened in the middle of the ocean.
disaster eye large powerful scenario wherever
This is a very large hurricane, a very powerful hurricane. Wherever you have the eye of this system, you are going to have a potentially catastrophic disaster there. This is the worst-case scenario for a hurricane.